Southern Miss (1-0, 0-0) at Auburn (1-0, 0-0)
Monday’s line: Auburn –17
First meeting: 1946 in Montgomery
Last meeting: 1993 in Auburn
Auburn leads the series 16-5
Last week: USM def. La-Lafayette 51-21; Auburn def. La-Monroe 34-0
The Golden Eagles get little time to celebrate their wildly successful season opener as Week 2 brings them to the Alabama plain to face Auburn. The Tigers represent Southern Miss’ only game in 2008 vs. a BCS-auto-qualifier conference as well as their first tilt against an SEC team in 2 days short of a year.
Coming off of a disappointing 5-3 conference record in 2007 due in large part to offensive struggles, head coach Tommy Tuberville decided to try something different and brought in a new offensive coordinator in Tony Franklin, formerly the guiding force behind Troy’s spread offense. Franklin was unhappy with his offensive unit’s performance—as well as his own—this past Saturday vs. Louisiana-Monroe, going as far as to say, “We stink and it’s my fault.” In terms of the passing game, the stench was unavoidable as starting QB Kodi Burns completed a disappointing 4 of 9 passes for 15 yards before leaving the game with a lacerated leg mid-way through the 3rd quarter. Auburn’s other QB, Chris Todd, who battled neck-and-neck with Burns for the starting nod and shared playing time before taking over for good after Burns’ injury, finished 9-for-18 for 70 yards with one touchdown and one interception. The running game, however, was a completely different story, racking up 321 yards. Junior Ben Tate accounted for 115 of those yards, including a 49-yarder; Burns rushed for 69; freshman Eric Smith rushed for 66; and senior Brad Lester gained 52 yards and accounted for Auburn’s other (yes, there were only 2) offensive TD.
The Plainsmen also have a new coordinator on defense, with Paul Rhoads replacing the departed Will “BOOM, M*+#@^-F^@%er!” Muschamp, who left for the same position at Texas and incidentally was on the short list of potential replacements for Jeff Bower. Rhoads’ weapons include junior end Antonio Coleman, who led the team in sacks (8.5) in 2007 and newly relocated tackle Sen’Derick Marks who led the line in tackles (43) in 2007 from the end position. Auburn also features a solid rotation of linebackers in Tray Blackmon (45 tackles in an injury-plagued ’07, 2 vs. UL-M), Courtney Harden (4 tackles vs. UL-M), Merrill Johnson (3 solo tackles vs. UL-M), Craig Stevens, and Chris Evans (3 tackles each vs. UL-M). The Tigers were especially effective vs. the pass in 2007, ranking 6th in the nation in yards against, and picked up right where they left off vs. UL-M by allowing only 136 yards and no TDs via the air. The Tigers were no slouch vs. the run, either, ranking 28th in the nation in ’07, and allowing only 84 yards on 30 carries this past Saturday. In what may be a ray of hope for Southern Miss, Auburn did only manage two sacks vs. an inexperienced (1 returning starter) and presumably overmatched Warhawk O-line.
Last week, Auburn had to rely on defense and special teams to separate themselves out of the gate from a .500 Sun Belt opponent (albeit one who beat Auburn’s own in-state rival last year), managing only a field goal on offense in the first half. However, after going run-heavy in the second half, they more than proved they could move the ball on the ground. That does not bode well for the Golden Eagles, who gave up 263 yards rushing to the other UL this past Saturday. Expect Auburn to put that equation to the test early and often on Saturday. If USM can somehow slow AU’s ground game, it’ll go quite a long way in improving the Golden Eagles’ chances for a win. Auburn’s QB situation is still somewhat up in the air (no pun intended), with Franklin expecting to play both Burns and Todd, though the latter may be slowed by the aforementioned gash on his leg and the multiple stitches required to close it [UPDATE: Todd has been named the starter.]
When Southern Miss has the ball, Auburn will have to remain effective against the run (especially Damion Fletcher, who put up 222 yards in the opener) and produce more pressure on the quarterback in order to slow down a Golden Eagle offense already (and surprisingly) practically firing on all cylinders with Austin Davis under center (633 yards vs. UL-L, good for the week’s 3rd-best outing in the nation). While it obviously shouldn’t be as easy for the Southern Miss “O” vs. Auburn as it was vs. UL-L, the combination of talent and the law of averages should still result in some opportunities, and a big play here and there could make a huge difference in the final outcome.
The last time Southern Miss entered Jordan-Hare stadium with a new head coach–a long, long time ago–the Golden Eagles stunned the Tigers 10-9. Expect the opposite in terms of scoring this time around, with neither team really stopping the other, and the one who only best slows the other’s game plan coming out on top. The last 4 games between USM and AU have been decided by a mere 5.5 point average, and based on the first week’s work from both teams, this one may not be any different. Expect Auburn’s advantage in defensive experience and depth to prove the difference.
